The idea behind the convention bounce is supposed to come from dominating the news cycle four straight nights. However, between losing Monday and the focus on Issac-and also Akin and Ron Paul-there has been a lot to distract. Mr. Stevens wants to hedge his bets:
"Stuart Stevens briefed reporters on the Mitt Romney plane, per POLITICO's Ginger Gibson:
The Romney campaign is downplaying any potential polling increase off the convention, citing the brewing hurricane, back-to-back conventions and record spending as having the ability to blow out their bump."This is, as Gibson notes, a shift from the prediction a few weeks ago that Romney would get a strong bump. Given the circumstances of the last two days, it's a bit hard to fault the campaign for a different message."
The day before Mitt Romney picked Paul Ryan to be his running, a senior campaign adviser told reporters that historically challengers had received an 11 percentage point bump. It set a pretty high bar for the GOP nominee.
But in a gaggle with reporters on a flight from Boston to Tampa this morning, senior adviser Stuart Stevens said "all bets are off."
"I have no idea, of course this convention is different because of the hurricane. The conventions are different now, they're later now. We're having back to back conventions," Stevens said. "We've never come in to a convention after another campaign has spent half a billion dollars plus the outside groups. So I just think all bets are off about any kind of past performance being a predictor of the future."
But in downplaying any potential bump, Stuart tried to argue that Romney is going into the convention "tied or with a lead."
"If the election was held tomorrow we would win and win pretty easily. That's amazing because we've been outspent the way we've been spent," Stuart said. "Clearly what the Obama campaign wanted to do hasn't worked. So, we feel very fortunate to be able to go into the convention and present a different vision of America."
Romney and President Obama have been tied in several national polls, but when looking at snapshot of state-by-state polls, Obama is currently leading the electoral college battle, the ultimate way that presidential elections are decided.
http://www.politico.com/blogs/burns-haberman/2012/08/romney-adviser-all-bets-are-off-on-convention-bump-133486.html?hp=l1
No doubt, Gibson is just being honest, though he had to take a sugar pill to take his medicine by claiming that Romney would "win and win easily" if the election were held today.
At least he's not openly lashing out at Issac like John Sunnu and Rush Limbaugh-Rush claims that the storm was caused by the President. Talk about Obama Derangement Syndrome (OBDS).
For the story where Sununu lashes out at Mother Nature please see here
http://thinkprogress.org/election/2012/08/28/754781/sununu-hurricane-media-obsessed/
Guess Issac needs to learn to be a real American too!
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