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Friday, June 29, 2012

No Romney Won't Be Able to Repeal ACA

     Look no mattter how bad things go in November-and I'm not expecting them to go at all bad actually-no one claims that Romney is going to win and get a super majority in the Senate. So there's no ability on his part to do it first thing as he's promising or at all even until such time that the country is so totally lost that they give the GOP super majorities across the board.

     Yes, there is reconciliation, however that only gives them the power to nibble around at the edges of ACA:

     "Congress can’t repeal the full law through reconciliation. Without the necessary 60 votes in the Senate for full repeal, Republicans are pledging to use a budget reconciliation bill to undo the ACA. But this process would only apply to the budget-related elements of the law and would thus leave many portions — including the mandate — intact. As health care expert Robert Laszewski put it, “Romney could end up creating a chaotic environment driven by enormous uncertainty over just which parts of the new health care law would be implemented–for consumers, health care providers, and insurers.”

     http://thinkprogress.org/health/2012/06/28/508503/4-reasons-why-republicans-wont-be-able-to-repeal-obamacare/

     The best case scenario for the GOP would be to remorselessly increase chaos in the deliverence of health care until they get a super majoirty in 2014. However by then the real benefits will start to be felt and it will be impossible politically.

      The real point I'm driving at though is that I think that the success of the Obama Administration is going to pay dividends for the ACA quicker than people think. Now that people can see the President was effective they are going to start feeling better about ACA.

     I stand by my claim that your median American voter is a bandwagon jumper. When they see success they start to follow it. I-like others of us-am a politiical junkie. I'm a die hard partisan Democrat. I never turn on my President or my party, ever.

    But a lot of people are not so focused and much easier to discourage. They aren't bad people and I'm no better or worse than them just different. I see the victories in the SB 1070 case and ACA as huge. Don't let anyone tell you otherwise. The media wants to discount it because half of them represent elite Alec interests that hate the idea of health care for all and then the other half just wants to keep suspense going for November. So no matter what happens all they tell us is that it's real close and will go down to the wire.

    It's no different than the Super Bowl. They never want to admit that one team is 42 points better than the other even when everyone knows it's true.

    I do see the President as in good shape. People know he's a good man, no matter how much Sean Hannity and Rush Limbaugh attempt to smear him on a daily basis. They know he's a decent man who genuinely wants to do what's good for the country.

   They always claiim his likablity doesn't matter. That's always the way it is with any of his strenghts-it doesn't matter then they'll even tell you it hurts him. Well that's what they're tyring to do with this ruling. On the one hand it hurts him as most voters don't like it and the Repugs will clobber him over it. On the other hand he shouldn't discuss it as no one cares either way anyway and think he doesn't uncerstand about jobs.

   There is a lot of Mo' going on right now. The strides he's taken us on immigration. And the American people are following him on this. Three years ago the country had a jingoistic attitude towards immigration-52% of Americans saw it as a net negative thing-no doubt as bringing in lawless, criminal brown people in the country to do drugs, commit crimes and dilute the culture-and the white majoirty.

    Now three years later almost 50% now support immigration and only 41% see it as a net negative. For a more quick example of a change in public opinion see how African Americans now support gay marriage rather than as many claimed turning against the President and clinging to their bigotry.

    Obama has many paths to victory, Romney has about one and hes trailing in so many must win states-Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Florida. He has to win all of these states. And forget the Hispanic vote-he'll never get it now.

    The reason I make this point is because the whole objective of all ths naysaying is for libs to be discouraged and stay home.

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