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Tuesday, October 1, 2013

Back to the 90s: Shutdown 2.0 and GOP Magic Thinking

     Remember when a lot of people were hoping that the GOP would learn some valuable lessons from the 2012 debacle? What a quaint idea that now seems-clearly the party doesnt believe in learning. Just bury your head in the sand and insist that doing the same exact thing will somehow lead to a different outcome. In most areas they have decided that the answer is a lot more of the same. 

     The one likely exception back in November, 2012  seemed like immigration reform. Even that remains to be seen as a sizable number of Republicans have convinced themselves that they don't need the Hispanic vote just get Whites to vote in higher proportions than they did in 2012. They argue that if only as many Whites voted in 2012 as in 2008 they'd have been fine-conveniently not noticing that they didn't win that election. 

     I didn't think they'd go full Retro here though. Meanwhile they are despeartely running their spin machine to see what make their magic thinking come true. This time everyone will blame the Democrats? Why? Well maybe because of Obamacare-except in 2012 the Dems won great victories and Obamacare was out there then too. 

     Well, now the GOP thinks because they are calling for a conference between the Senate and the House, this makes them the real honest brokers trying to avoid a shutdown-rather than just engaging in more theatrics. 

     http://talkingpointsmemo.com/dc/the-gop-s-ruse-to-corner-dems-in-the-shutdown

     This ignores that when they proposed a conference last night it effectively was a choice by them to allow the shutdown. Now they want to go to conference thinking they can use it as a cudgel to extract concessions from Democrats. However, they are refusing geunine budget talks. 

     "Republicans have formally rejected bicameral budget negotiations 18 times since April. And House Budget Chairman Paul Ryan (R-WI) dismissed that offer Tuesday, effectively validating Democrats' concerns by arguing that his party's strategy is to use the debt ceiling as a cudgel to achieve more budgetary reforms."

     "We've wanted to go to a budget conference when we thought we had more likelihood of getting an agreement," Ryan told reporters. "If we went prematurely, that would decrease the likelihood we would have gotten a budget agreement."

      Even many Republicans are weary with this strategy. 


       Yet our politics is Wag the Dog. Whatever is the least popular option is what we get. Even within the Republican party this is now true. 

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