The polling prior to the convention did not bode well as Scott Brown took a 5 point lead in a PPP poll. Brown has consistently outpolled Warrren among independents and he's been getting as much as 1 in 5 Democrats.
She's also been criticized for her campaign ads that many have claimed are overly "professorial" and "preachy." For whatever reason, evidently this question about whether or not she ever said she was part Cherokee Indian on a form she filled out years ago has been in the minds of people like Howe Carr a major campaign issue.
http://diaryofarepublicanhater.blogspot.com/2012/09/why-vote-for-scott-brown-is-vote-for.html
She has been urged to change her strategy and it seems she has started to. She certainly needs to hit hard on the fact that whatever you may think of Brown personally, he votes with the Republican majority in the Senate when it counts. A vote for Brown is a vote for Mitch McConnell.
She gave a very strong speech in Charlotte and we now have two major polls to show she too got a convention bounce:
"The post-convention bounce given to President Barack Obama appears to have extended to one of the event's other stars, as a pair of polls released on Sunday show Massachusetts senate hopeful Elizabeth Warren grabbing the lead from Sen. Scott Brown (R-Mass.)."
"Warren leads Brown by 2 points among likely voters in the latest release from Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling (PPP), 48 percent to 46 percent, reversing a 5-point advantage the Republican incumbent held in PPP's previous survey a month ago. The Democratic challenger and consumer watchdog opens up an even larger edge in a new poll from Western New England College, leading Brown by 6 points among likely voters, 50 percent to 44 percent."
"Each poll was conducted after the Democratic National Convention, where Warren delivered a marquee speech on the penultimate night. The PollTracker Average, which currently shows Brown trailing by less than 2 points, illustrates Warren's rise since the beginning of the month.
http://livewire.talkingpointsmemo.com/entry/two-polls-show-warren-leading-brown-in-mass?ref=fpb
In this day and age, the parties are much more ideological than they used to be. Even if you vote for a more moderate Republican the impact will be to move Congress further to the Right. There was a time when you had conservatives and liberals in both parties-so often liberal Democrats and moderate Republicans would vote together while Southern conservative Democrats would vote with conservative Republicans.
We are no longer living in such a time. Interestingly, it was only in 2010 that the last vestiges of the old conservative Southern Democrats in places like Alabama which hadn't had a statewide GOP sweep since Reconstruction.
Brown has managed to give himself the image of being prochoice while voting with prolife groups 80% of the time.
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