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Monday, January 30, 2012

German Terms For a Greek Rescue: Colonization

    Bill Mitchel over at billy blog has this great headline to today's post, "Greece to leave Eurozone and become a Germany colony."

     http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/

     Sixty five years after the Germans had to foreswear war forever and were broken up, we see that Germany hasn't rejoined the world of peaceful nations, the world has joined Germany!

      Scott Fullweiler over at New Economic Perspectives has a good take on what this is about: a German warning about what the terms of any bailout might be for Spain, Portugal, Italy, Ireland, et al.

      " how do you preclude Portugal, Ireland and, indeed, Spain from asking for the same deal as Greece, if the negotiations succeed?"

     "Answer; you can't. So the Germans throw a politically impossible demand in front of the Greeks, in effect saying, "No more money unless you effectively surrender your national sovereignty." And that's the implied warning ahead for the other periphery countries which look to secure the deal currently on the table for Greece.
 
   "In effect, the Germans (behind the auspices of the troika) are saying, "It's fiscal austerity on our terms. You try to renegotiate like the Greeks and we take you over. The other alternative is that you leave.".

   "Anschluss economics, plain and simple."

   "Is this too harsh an assessment? Well, when their national interests are at stake, the Germans are perfectly prepared to shed the “good European” persona and play hardball.   Think back to how the Bundesbank engineered the departure of Britain from the ERM back in the early 1990s, and you've got the template for today. By publicly suggesting that sterling was overvalued and refusing to offer support to the British pound (in contrast to its subsequent defence of the French franc), then BUBA President Helmut Schlesinger virtually assured the UK's ejection from the Exchange Rate Mechanism. Let's face it: history shows that Germany doesn't do "subtle" very well. This looks like a blitzkrieg, plain and simple. Spain, Ireland, Portugal and Italy - you have been warned. "

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