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Friday, June 14, 2013

Polls in Crayon or How You Know GOP Hasn't Learnt Anything

     It strikes me that the GOP's silly dismissal of the poll that shows Gomez down by 12 in Massachusetts is yet another tell that the party has learnt nothing from its defeat. It's still up to the same old tricks. Still passing violently anti female legislation with all these horrible new state laws making women have forced vaginal ultrasounds, unnecessary medical procedures-Ohio even wants them to pay for them out of their own pocket.  They are also setting themselves up for another fall in their obsessive opposition to Obamacare which will only get more popular as the law is implemented.

   http://diaryofarepublicanhater.blogspot.com/2013/06/jan-brewer-saves-obamacare-in-arizona.html

    Then there is all the scandal mongering where they have been overreaching as usual with a recent example being Darrell Issa's baseless attempts to claim that Obama had something to do with what's going on at the IRS. Happily the Dems are doing a good job of calling his bluff there. 

    http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-line/wp/2013/06/13/calling-darrell-issas-bluff/

    However, for a more mundane example how about the GOP dismissal of a poll in Massachusetts which shows Ed Markey leading Gabrielle Gomez by 12 points? 

    "The National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC) on Thursday brushed off a GOP poll showing Rep. Ed Markey (D-MA) breaking away in the Massachusetts special U.S. Senate election, dismissing the survey as amateurish."

     "An automated survey from fledgling Republican outlet Harper Polling on Wednesday showed Markey claiming a 12-point lead over Republican businessman Gabriel Gomez. Brock McCleary, a pollster for Harper, wrote succinctly that "Gomez trails because there are more Democrats than Republicans in the state." Harper was launched in December to rival Democratic-leaning robo-pollsters like Public Policy Polling.

     "But Brad Dayspring, a spokesman for the NRSC, told TPM in an email that he isn't sweating Harper's findings."

     "It might as well have been written in crayon," Dayspring said of the poll. "Ed Markey and his Democratic friends in Washington aren't outspending Gabriel Gomez 7:1 because they are confident.  Ed Markey isn't begging Bill and Hillary Clinton to save him because he thinks he's doing well."

     "The PollTracker Average currently shows Markey with a nearly 9-point lead in the race."


     So they haven't even gotten over poll denial. Just like Romney did, they still seem to think that the facts don't matter. If you like a poll it's true if you don't it's written in crayon-even if it's a Republican firm. Yet, if nothing else surely the GOP  learned the folly of this last November? 

    Apparently not. Meanwhile Nate Silver doesn't even consider the Mass special election a close call or anything like it-'Not really that interesting a race.'  He puts Gomez's chances at 10 percent or possibly as low as 5 percent.

    

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