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Tuesday, May 21, 2013

Scandals Underscore that the Future of the GOP is Bleak

     About a month ago, with the opening of his Presidential Library, George W. Bush assured his party that 'you will exist in the future.'

     After the election we heard a lot of talk about GOP soul searching and that they were promising to learn from the debacle. Not much that has happened since is very encouraging in this regard. They have spent the whole year obstructing and have taken a victory lap over the sequester that hardly seems like something to brag bout.

     http://thinkprogress.org/economy/2013/05/20/2038001/schools-sequestration-impact-aid/

      Paul Ryan has sort of spilled the beans on the method behind the GOP's madness:

     "The American Prospect has a lengthy, detailed profile of Senator Patty Murray, digging into her role in encouraging women to run for the Senate and her behind the scenes budget sparring with Paul Ryan. This concession from Ryan is key:

What Murray is not saying publicly: It’s not in the GOP’s interest to end the budget impasse. Crisis governance—debt-ceiling threats, shutdowns—allows Republicans to claim a new scalp every few months. Ryan acknowledges as much. “I think a lot of members think that we have very few leverage devices in the minority and must use the ones we’ve got for good policy,” he says. “It’s simple, I think.”

     http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-line/wp/2013/05/21/the-morning-plum-the-oklahoma-tornado-is-a-horrible-tragedy-bring-the-politics/

     Now they've graduated from obstruction to scandals and investigations. It's striking how similar the Obama term has been to the Clinton term; the reason is that the GOP has a very limited playbook. When they go here, it shows there's nothing left in the tank. 

     There's little sign in the polls thus far that this is working for the GOP. It motivates their base but then they were motivated in 1998 as well. 

     "Only 33 percent say the GOP is focused on things that are important to them, while 60 percent say the GOP is not. Meanwhile, 51 percent say Obama is focused on things that are important to them. And the public is split, 45-44, on whether the GOP’s criticism of Benghazi represents “political posturing.” Whatever the public thinks of the scandals, they haven’t changed the fact that Obama’s numbers are significantly better than those of the GOP."

     http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-line/wp/2013/05/21/the-morning-plum-the-oklahoma-tornado-is-a-horrible-tragedy-bring-the-politics/

     This too, is just like the 90s. It's doubtful that this will raise the GOP's approval rating. It likely will mean the opposite. As for Obama's, his approval remains strong and likely will increase if this goes on as Clinton's did in the 90s.  

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