The conventional wisdom certainly is that this is going to hurt the Dems come 2014. On the fact this might seem quite likely; though I could point out that if facts mattered-which in scandals they don't-there's no reason they should hurt Democrats at all.
I mean none of these things have anything to do inherently with the Democratic party or the President himself either, for that matter. The assumption that the American people will blame the President-and since he's not running, blame will fall on his party-is an assumption that the people are kind of dense. This has at times been a very successful bet though not so much in the 2012 election.
Still this belief seems to be more than just about logic.It's more or less an article of faith. I mean the polls don't show any of this hurting the President or the Dems-in fact it seems to be hurting the GOP. Still, these are just facts to the scandal loving media who are certain this is the most important thing under the sun. The American people are deeply concerned about this even though the polls don't really show this.
While national polls haven’t shown a shift in the public’s opinion of President Barack Obama’s performance, recent controversies have, in my view, significantly changed the political landscape.
Look at how Silver explains Obama doing fine in the polls-today Gallup showed him with a 50% approval rating with 44% disapproving.
"There are a lot of theories as to why Mr. Obama’s approval ratings have been unchanged in the wake of these controversies, which some news accounts and many of Mr. Obama’s opponents are describing as scandals. But these analyses may proceed from the wrong premise if they assume that the stories have had no impact. It could be that the controversies are, in fact, putting some downward pressure on Mr. Obama’s approval ratings — but that the losses are offset by improved voter attitudes about the economy."
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/05/21/is-the-economy-saving-obamas-approval-ratings/
Got that? The scandals haven't hurt Obama because they have. It's just that the economy is disguising it. The one thing apparently Silver can't entertain is that maybe the impact is much less than he and his scandal loving friends in the media think it must have.
Bear in mind that we've been living with the scandal mongering for the last 10 days-this started exactly on Friday May 10. Silver wants us to believe that the decent economy-which has been the story of the first 5 months of the year only started having an impact after 5 months on the same day the media decided that all that matters is GOP fueled anti Obama scandals? This all hit the day Obama's approval rating was supposed to spike but didn't because of the IRS fake scandal-if you think Benghazi is a fake scandal you;re right but in that case it was at least real tragedy where 4 people died as opposed to the IRS where nobody actually got hurt at all-that kept it exactly where it had been for the last 4 months but only media seers like Silver know this?
Here's my theory of what's going on with the scandals. Clinton's numbers never got hurt by GOP scandals either. I remember the time well and here's what I remember: the more the GOP and media flagged the issue and beat it to death the higher Clinton's approval rating went.
By the week of the miserably politically motivated impeachment vote-as Elizabeth Drew rightly argues, this disingenuous action has greatly cheapened the meaning of impeachment-his approval was at 81%.
In fact, I think there's a lot to the idea that this will help the Dems not hurt them. I mean the GOP is just checking out. It thinks mongering the scandals will somehow cure the fact that they are an intellectually and morally bankrupt party with nothing to offer except obstruction, gridlock and politically motivated witch hunts like this. I think the idea of the Dems letting them own this is a very good one.
http://diaryofarepublicanhater.blogspot.com/2013/05/could-scandals-be-best-thing-that.html
I mean none of these things have anything to do inherently with the Democratic party or the President himself either, for that matter. The assumption that the American people will blame the President-and since he's not running, blame will fall on his party-is an assumption that the people are kind of dense. This has at times been a very successful bet though not so much in the 2012 election.
Still this belief seems to be more than just about logic.It's more or less an article of faith. I mean the polls don't show any of this hurting the President or the Dems-in fact it seems to be hurting the GOP. Still, these are just facts to the scandal loving media who are certain this is the most important thing under the sun. The American people are deeply concerned about this even though the polls don't really show this.
While national polls haven’t shown a shift in the public’s opinion of President Barack Obama’s performance, recent controversies have, in my view, significantly changed the political landscape.
And changes in the landscape have led the Rothenberg Political Report to change its Senate ratings.
See what I mean? The polls don't show anything of the kind but "in his view" this is a game changer and the Dems are in big trouble. Even Nate Silver seems to think that somehow this has to be a big deal and must be hurting the President-even though the polls don't show anything of the kind.
Look at how Silver explains Obama doing fine in the polls-today Gallup showed him with a 50% approval rating with 44% disapproving.
"There are a lot of theories as to why Mr. Obama’s approval ratings have been unchanged in the wake of these controversies, which some news accounts and many of Mr. Obama’s opponents are describing as scandals. But these analyses may proceed from the wrong premise if they assume that the stories have had no impact. It could be that the controversies are, in fact, putting some downward pressure on Mr. Obama’s approval ratings — but that the losses are offset by improved voter attitudes about the economy."
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/05/21/is-the-economy-saving-obamas-approval-ratings/
Got that? The scandals haven't hurt Obama because they have. It's just that the economy is disguising it. The one thing apparently Silver can't entertain is that maybe the impact is much less than he and his scandal loving friends in the media think it must have.
Bear in mind that we've been living with the scandal mongering for the last 10 days-this started exactly on Friday May 10. Silver wants us to believe that the decent economy-which has been the story of the first 5 months of the year only started having an impact after 5 months on the same day the media decided that all that matters is GOP fueled anti Obama scandals? This all hit the day Obama's approval rating was supposed to spike but didn't because of the IRS fake scandal-if you think Benghazi is a fake scandal you;re right but in that case it was at least real tragedy where 4 people died as opposed to the IRS where nobody actually got hurt at all-that kept it exactly where it had been for the last 4 months but only media seers like Silver know this?
Here's my theory of what's going on with the scandals. Clinton's numbers never got hurt by GOP scandals either. I remember the time well and here's what I remember: the more the GOP and media flagged the issue and beat it to death the higher Clinton's approval rating went.
By the week of the miserably politically motivated impeachment vote-as Elizabeth Drew rightly argues, this disingenuous action has greatly cheapened the meaning of impeachment-his approval was at 81%.
In fact, I think there's a lot to the idea that this will help the Dems not hurt them. I mean the GOP is just checking out. It thinks mongering the scandals will somehow cure the fact that they are an intellectually and morally bankrupt party with nothing to offer except obstruction, gridlock and politically motivated witch hunts like this. I think the idea of the Dems letting them own this is a very good one.
http://diaryofarepublicanhater.blogspot.com/2013/05/could-scandals-be-best-thing-that.html
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