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Tuesday, March 11, 2014

Is the Window on Repealing Obamacare closing?

     As always on this subject we start from the irony that this is a Republican law, Romneycare, which was advocated by Nixon and recommended by the Heritage Foundation. I've said a  number of times that at some point when the ACA's political mandate is undeniable that the GOP will accept the basic outline of Obamacare and argue that they're the ones serious about 'protecting' it-just as they claim on Social Security and Medicare. 

   We see some signs out of the GOP now that they understand the repeal every month act isn't going to work so well in the future. Why? There are 4 million reasons-4 million who have already been signed  on HealthCare.gov despite all the naysayers and the undoubted rough beginning it had. 

    "The Obamacare recovery continued in February, according to new numbers released by the Obama administration Tuesday: 942,000 Americans enrolled in private coverage last month, bringing the total through five months to 4.2 million."

    "Sign-ups are still lagging behind the original 7 million enrollments projected for the entire six-month open enrollment period that ends March 31, but the law has made up significant ground. And if enrollments have been spiking in March as White House officials and health policy experts have long predicted, Obamacare could come closer to meeting that 7 million projection, made by the Congressional Budget Office before the enrollment period began in October, than most would have thought possible after HealthCare.gov's disastrous launch."

     http://talkingpointsmemo.com/dc/obamacare-february-enrollment-official

      Despite all the gloating the GOP did with the first few difficult months with the HealthCare.gov website, it is now getting close to the track envisioned originally before the website problem. 

     "Think of it this way: In October, when the website failed miserably and about 100,000 people signed up for insurance, enrollment stood at 21 percent of what the CBO had expected for that month. Now, assuming Obamacare has a good final month and gets to 5.5 million sign-ups, that's nearly 80 percent of the original 7 million that had been projected. CBO revised its projection down to 6 million last month, accounting for HealthCare.gov's problems."

     Does the GOP want to go into this year's election with credit with a plan to know 4 million Americans already who have found healthcare through the law? For this reason we're seeing more GOP laws that try to improve the law in a piecemeal fashion. 

    "The last two weeks of the House's agenda exemplifies this internal debate. Delaying the individual mandate, the heart of Obamacare's insurance market reforms, is never going to happen with President Barack Obama still wielding a veto pen."

     "But the bills being considered Tuesday likely have a shot. They're relatively minor tweaks, and GOP aides say they're expected to pass with Democratic votes. There's a political element in play -- Republicans want to undermine the Democratic talking point that they've done nothing but obstruct Obamacare -- but this is real legislating."

     When are the first GOP ads to promise that while the Democrats wish to frivolously destroy the law through politics, the GOP is striving to save this law? It shouldn't be that hard to to do as they did support it back when it was Romneycare. 

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