It is just amazing to me how much variance there can be in polls of the same race. I mean IBD vs. Gravis. Holy Moly. Yesterday was all about bedwetting over Hillary. that's it, this is 2008 all over again. Bernie will win. She's done for. She must be a flawed candidate.
And there have been a few tighter polls in Iowa lately-though NH is also tight so Bernie is not running away in his presumed favored state either.
Then today IBD had national poll with her up just 43-39. Time to wet the bed.
But then Gravis has a poll that shows her up 65-26. How can two legitimate scientific polls show such variance?
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-national-democratic-primary
Or is one legitimate and scientific and one not? That's the question. What I do notice is that for some reason RCP isn't recognizing it but Huffington Pollster is. The IBD poll is for January 4 to January 8 while Gravis was just for one day-January 11. But Gravis had a lot more respondents-892 to just 378 by IBD.
So we'll have to see what other polls show. If both these polls are accurate, one theory could be something that another polling firm recently showed in December. in the days before the Democrat debate HRC had just a 45-37 lead but after the debate she led with over 60 percent with Bernie under 30 percent.
In the last few days, she's come out again and done more shows and been more aggressive going after him on gun control, etc.
After seeing the Iowa Black and Brown Forum last night she should also go hard on him over his votes against immigration reform in the past. He is giving his own spin for those votes but he has won the praise of some groups that want to decrease immigration.
For most of this race she's wanted to not acknowledge Bernie and just be the presumed winner but her poll numbers have really soared when she's been more aggressive.
With all the criticism about the Dem debates, all the debates have seemed to help her numbers-so maybe more debates could even be helpful for her.
So she might want to make sure she keeps engaging-she called into Chris Hayes last night after calling into Chris Matthews last Friday. The times when her numbers have slipped may be when she's been less visible.
And there have been a few tighter polls in Iowa lately-though NH is also tight so Bernie is not running away in his presumed favored state either.
Then today IBD had national poll with her up just 43-39. Time to wet the bed.
But then Gravis has a poll that shows her up 65-26. How can two legitimate scientific polls show such variance?
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-national-democratic-primary
Or is one legitimate and scientific and one not? That's the question. What I do notice is that for some reason RCP isn't recognizing it but Huffington Pollster is. The IBD poll is for January 4 to January 8 while Gravis was just for one day-January 11. But Gravis had a lot more respondents-892 to just 378 by IBD.
So we'll have to see what other polls show. If both these polls are accurate, one theory could be something that another polling firm recently showed in December. in the days before the Democrat debate HRC had just a 45-37 lead but after the debate she led with over 60 percent with Bernie under 30 percent.
In the last few days, she's come out again and done more shows and been more aggressive going after him on gun control, etc.
After seeing the Iowa Black and Brown Forum last night she should also go hard on him over his votes against immigration reform in the past. He is giving his own spin for those votes but he has won the praise of some groups that want to decrease immigration.
For most of this race she's wanted to not acknowledge Bernie and just be the presumed winner but her poll numbers have really soared when she's been more aggressive.
With all the criticism about the Dem debates, all the debates have seemed to help her numbers-so maybe more debates could even be helpful for her.
So she might want to make sure she keeps engaging-she called into Chris Hayes last night after calling into Chris Matthews last Friday. The times when her numbers have slipped may be when she's been less visible.
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