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Wednesday, November 5, 2014

The Democrats' Allison Grimes Problem

     This post is not meant to pick on her, it's just that she's kind of symptomatic of the whole flawed strategy of the Dems in 2014. They all accepted that Obama is toxic, that you treat him like a leper in public. They bought into the Republican's ideology of Obama hatred-aided and abetted by the media who kept claiming that Obama's numbers had taken a historic hit during 2014 and that he was historically umpopular-neither which was true.

     http://www.huffingtonpost.com/jeff-schweitzer/the-price-of-failure-and_b_6099752.html

      http://diaryofarepublicanhater.blogspot.com/2014/11/democracy-can-goof-and-last-night-it-did.html

       Ms. Grimes took it to a new level. She couldn't even admit to voting for him in 2012. I know the media kept trumpeting how unpopular he was-though as I noted above this was overstated in any case.

       Still, retrospect, when you look at how bad it went for her personally and for the Democrats, why not admit you voted for him? Why not embrace him a little or at least not so totally repudiate him as to assert he's radioactive and has cooties? I mean how much worse could it have been?

      Hey listen-the Dems don't need no 'Chicken soup for the Democratic soul.'

        http://www.politico.com/story/2014/11/2014-elections-democrats-112477.html

         Some things in political life are constant. 

          1. The GOP is the party of chicken hawks.

           2. The Dems are just plain chicken.

           To scared to even say Obama's name in public. Look what it got them. Meanwhile as I noted in my last post, Republicans like Joe Kiernan-on CNBC's Squawk Box between 6 and 9 a.m.-claim that last night was not just a repudiation of incumbents and Obama but progressive policies.

           Last night's election may have been about many things but the one thing it didn't was repudiate progressive policies. If it did why did one of the biggest progressive issues being pushed by that terrible man, President Obama, actually pass in 4 red states? And there were some landslides.

           "The passage of minimum wage ballot initiatives in three red-leaning states — Arkansas, Nebraska and South Dakota — and an expected victory in Alaska provided some rare good news to Democrats in desperate need of some. But as a wedge issue, the minimum wage proved a disappointment.


           "In Arkansas, a measure to raise the state minimum was projected to win by 30 percentage points; in Nebraska by 24; and in South Dakota by six. Illinois’ non-binding advisory referendum to raise the minimum wage also passed by 12 points."

           Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2014/11/minimum-wage-increase-wins-in-four-red-states-112565.html#ixzz3ICZ09u3z

        Politico immediately tries to temper it by pointing out it didn't help the Dems but glossing over the fact that this proves the whole point. There was no ideological wave no matter how you want to size it. How else can you explain Americans voting en masse to elect anti minimum wage candidates while voting for the minimum wage?

       Listen, I'm not saying not running from Obama would have helped-its a counterfactual and as we learn from the economists it's hard to prove counterfactuals-but surely they wouldn't have lost any worse.

        And it might have helped. I think the Dems spent too much time running from the Obama bogeyman and not enough time explaining their own policy stances. I think running from Obama then explaining their policy stances neutralizes the message too. So I do think it would have helped as it would have meant an entirely different posture. With their just plain chicken strategy they basically had the look of running from their own record, as if they had something to hide. So in fact I do think it could have made a big difference; it certainly couldn't have made things worse.

       At the end of the day it comes down to this:

       1. GOPers are chicken hawks

       2. Dems are chicken

        3. The media colludes with the GOP

        4. The oh so impressionable American public eats all the Obama hatred where Obama is responsible for every bad thing that ever happened right up to Ebola with a spoon.

        Again, democracy can goof.
          

      

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