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Friday, August 2, 2013

Mitch McConnell's Reelection is Now a Tossup But He Can Always Blame Soros.

    After all, that's what he always does. That and force his party to filibuster important bills-he successfully filibustered the Senate Transportation bill yesterday. It only got one GOP vote even though 6 had voted for it in Committee. As for the polls that shows he's in trouble-well, that's all George Soros' fault.

     "George Soros and the Obama Allies are up to their same old tricks," said McConnell campaign manager Jesse Benton. "They have concocted another fictitious poll that has no basis in reality, held it for ten days, and released it at the perfect time in the news cycle to help their upstart liberal candidate. This poll has zero credibility and should be ignored out of hand."

      http://diaryofarepublicanhater.blogspot.com/2013/08/good-news-and-bad-news-for-mitch.html

     That's the spirit Senator! We saw how well the Ostrich Trick worked for Mitt Romney when the polls went against him. Jennifer Duffy says the race is now a tossup.

     "Big news in the Kentucky Senate race: after two polls showed challenger Alison Lundergan Grimes actually leading, Cook Political Report’s Jennifer Duffy now says that Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell’s re-election campaign is a “toss up.” Along with a solid Democratic recruitment in Georgia, Democrats can breath a little easier after what had been a long string of good news for the GOP."

     http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-line/wp/2013/08/02/for-now-dems-are-still-narrowly-favored-to-hold-senate-majority


     Of course, McConnell also faces a Tea Party primary opponent-who's well funded. It's clear that yesterday's filibuster had a lot to do with that. 

     This as the quote above suggests, give the Dems a little more breathing room in the Senate a the GOP now has some defense they need to play too-in both Kentucky and Georgia. Basically they have to win 6 out of 7 seats and protect both these vulnerable seats at the same time. 

      Kentucky is kind of Ground Zero for GOP obstruction. It's not a state that you would think the Dems would stand a prayer of winning. To say the state is not a fan of the President is putting the matter mildly-he had under 40% of the vote in 2012. Yet there are more registered Democrats than Republicans-but Democrats are mostly very conservative. 

     McConnell actually says he plans to go after her on issues-arguing, perhaps correctly, that she's less conservative than the average Kentuckian. Still, a big part of his campaign will be running against Obama, Nancy Pelosi, and Harry Reid. 

      Yet if the President is not popular in Kentucky, McConnell isn't too popular either. It seems that McConnell will run against Obama and she'll run against McConnell. No doubt she's going to have to get it just right on issues as it is a very conservative state. Even so, the state is also very tired of McConnell's tactics. 

       What may also really help Ms. Grimes is McConnell's primary opponent, Matt Bevin. None of te Senate Tea Partiers are willing to endorse McConnell against Bevin.  

       http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-line/wp/2013/08/02/ted-cruz-and-his-fellow-tea-party-senators-stiff-arm-mitch-mcconnell/

       While this bodes poorly perhaps for the coming budget fights this fall-it seems that McConnell may be unwilling to say no to any crazy Tea Party tactic-defund Obamacare or we shut down the government, no discussion of the budget unless Dems accept the precondition of no discussion of the debt ceiling, etc-it may all work to Ms. Grimes advantage. Indeed, the hoep should be a Todd Akin like moment for Mr. Bevin-after he defeats McConnell-at this point he's not expected to prevail, it's true. Still hopefully he'll at least be able to land some blows-he has deep pockets at least. Maybe Ms. Grimes should take a page out of should take out a page from Claire McCaskill's book and actually fund and build up Bevin during the primary. 

   
     

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