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Tuesday, April 5, 2016

Not a Great Night in Wisconsin Either Party Tonight

Hillary lost which was expected. We will see if she can keep it within 10 points-it would be nice symbolically.

Right now with about 25 percent of the vote in she is down by about six points. Real Clear Politics has her trailing in delegates in Wisconsin by 44-28 thus far. But she does have some super delegates and there are still some outstanding pledged delegates.

Still, the big picture shows her leading still at this moment-assuming the current 44-28 Wisconsin numbers so far-shows her leading him by 247 pledged delegates. Factoring her huge lead in super delegates, she has a lead of 1740-1055, ie, almost 700.

True Bernie will talk about 'momentum' but we know this is an Urban Legend. With his very tough interview with the Daily News, Hillary has plenty on him now for the next debate. That interview confirmed for me what I'd believed about him from day one. That he's an ideologue but he doesn't know much about the mechanics of his fervent beliefs-but why then should we trust his beliefs, as he hasn't even thought them through?

On the GOP side, a lot of writing Trump obituary. The pundits seem certain now that this is the beginning of the end for him. He won't get to 1237 and then the GOP presumably will get to impose Paul Ryan.

Hugh Hewitt was funny tonight as he tried to sell us on the absurdity that he really can beat Hillary Clinton. This was not even remotely convincing-does Hewitt believe this?

For my part I'd be delighted with a Hillary-Cruz general, though my first wish was Hillary-Trump. The worry is that if Trump fails to get 1237 the nomination won't go to Cruz either-who has no real chance at 1237.

Still, things will only get better in NY for both Hillary and Trump.

P.S. With the glee from everyone from Hewitt to Nate Silver over this, it makes me root for Trump all over again to win that primary. 

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