President Obama Opens Up Leads in 3 Swing States

      If Romney can get any traction in these swing states he's out. While the President's path victory can be reached in many ways, the possibilities for Romney are far fewer. The polls out this morning do not bode well:

     "President Barack Obama holds an edge over Mitt Romney in Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania, a new Quinnipiac University/New York Times/CBS News poll out Wednesday shows."

     "When likely voters in the three battleground states were asked whom they would vote for if the election were held today, here's the way it broke down:

• Florida: Obama, 51 percent; Romney, 45 percent.
• Ohio: Obama, 50 percent; Romney 44 percent
• Pennsylvania: Obama, 53 percent; Romney 42 percent

     "No one has won the White House since 1960 without winning at least two of the states. Obama won all three in 2008."

    "Support for Obama's proposal to increase taxes on households making more than $250,000 per year is 58 to 37 percent in Florida, 60 to 37 percent in Ohio and 62 to 34 percent in Pennsylvania, the survey finds."

     http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/ticket/obama-leads-romney-three-battleground-states-poll-shows-103942709.html

     The President is doing very well with Hispancis, women, and the all important independents:

     "The poll, conducted from July 24-30, shows Mr. Obama leading his presumptive Republican challenger 53 percent to 42 percent in Pennsylvania. The 11-point lead results largely from independents, who favor the president by 22 points, and women, who favor the president by 24 points."

      "Mr. Obama holds a six-point lead in Ohio, 50 percent to 44 percent, a state where he holds a campaign event later today. His lead here is also due in large part to women, who back him by a 21-point margin. Romney leads by ten points among Ohio men, and seven points among Ohio whites."

      "In Florida, Mr. Obama also holds a six point lead, 51 percent to 45 percent. He holds a small lead among both men and women and a 19-point lead among Hispanics, while Romney leads by double-digits among whites and voters age 65 and above."

      "The numbers out of Pennsylvania here further the idea that the state isn't really competitive this year -- Obama has had a healthy lead there in all recent polling. Ohio and Florida, though, have been closer, so the six-point leads -- and the fact that Obama breaks 50 percent -- in each of those states is significant."

      http://www.politico.com/blogs/burns-haberman/2012/08/poll-obama-leads-romney-in-three-swing-states-130728.html?hp=l4

     Though the media relentlessly give us the drumbeat that this race will be very, very close, this poll suggests that the President may be pulling away in some of these swing states at least. Pennsylvania is looking more remote and Ohio and Florida are looking a lot stronger than they have been.

    Another thing we hear a lot about is that Romney's flop sweat of a trip won't hurt him in the long run as Americans care about the economy. I disagree. Obviously we care about the economy-I as much as anyone need it to get better.

    However, I think you can argue that Romney's failure in Britain is in itself a sign he won't win, can't win, that the American people will never elect this man President. A conservative tried to defend Romney by arguing that Britain should be careful-this may be the next President of the United States.

    I think we can turn that around and say that the fact that our junior partner Great Britain so disrespected this guy and made him such a laughing stock proves that he will never be President. It's not that the Brits were wrong to insult the possible future President of the United States but that the fact that they insulted him means Americans will never vote for him. If the Brits really thought he could be they wouldn't have dared done so.

   This trip was supposed to make him look Presidential and give him "gravitas." Can you imagine a more undignified trip than the one he's coming back from? Do we really want such a laughing stock being our face to the world for the next 4 years?

    It's like the line "Shut up, you had me at hello."

    Sometimes it's the little things. And with Romney, there are too many little things that add up to a guy who most Americans say is out of touch.

     I've seen enough elections in my life time to get how American elections work-I was born in Britain myself, actually, but emigrated here as a three year old.

    Americans don't vote for a guy they don't like. I notice that many conservatives are now conceding that the President is much more likable but try to spin it that they respect Romney to do the "tough things" that he's an effective CEO.

    Nope. If Americans don't like you they don't vote for you.

    Americans definitely don't vote for you if they think you're "out of touch." Being called this is the kiss of death.

    Americans don't vote for losers. Guys who get pushed around. That's why Carter lost. He was a nice guy but the impression was that he got pushed around, that America got pushed around and that was the kiss of death.

     Do you really think the Leader of the Free World can be someone who got laughed at and mocked for three days in Britian? Please. Criticism is one thing. You can come back from that. But mocked and laughed at? Ridiculed? Nothing was clearer that Bush the First was going to lose in 1992 than the existence of Dana Carvey. He was lampooned and ridiculed. No way can that be compensated for or overcome.

     Again, by all means use the analogy of the voters as a woman to court and the candidate as trying to woo her. You can make some mistakes and come back from it. However, getting laughed at in the sack is a deal breaker.

    For Mitt Romney, it's "Shut up, you lost me in Britain.