tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6480818427597300387.post3621678261402650479..comments2024-03-07T19:25:22.346-08:00Comments on Last Men and OverMen: In CNN Poll Hillary Gets a 12 Point Convention BounceMike Saxhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01360689916550576484noreply@blogger.comBlogger7125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6480818427597300387.post-43058622628791329902016-08-01T16:05:36.671-07:002016-08-01T16:05:36.671-07:00Delong RTed this post for me too. Always helps. It...Delong RTed this post for me too. Always helps. It's already got 100 readers. <br /><br />Not that I haven't been doing pretty well in general lately Mike Saxhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01360689916550576484noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6480818427597300387.post-7295826698730531422016-08-01T16:03:28.992-07:002016-08-01T16:03:28.992-07:00Yes. They now have her at 82 percent on nowcast. T...Yes. They now have her at 82 percent on nowcast. The polls plus only has her at 68 percent. She was more like 75 to 80 percent before James Comey's press conference. <br /><br />But she's in the right direction. Mike Saxhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01360689916550576484noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6480818427597300387.post-9926604021287210962016-08-01T16:01:27.695-07:002016-08-01T16:01:27.695-07:00Meanwhile, Trump verbally attacked the fire marsha...Meanwhile, Trump verbally attacked the fire marshall that saved his ass last week. Mike Saxhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01360689916550576484noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6480818427597300387.post-54111137089411719772016-08-01T15:55:03.849-07:002016-08-01T15:55:03.849-07:00In their Now Cast, HRC is looking almost as good a...In their Now Cast, HRC is looking almost as good as she's ever been:<br />http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#now<br />That's the one that Harding favored when he posted links to it on his blog in the past.Tom Brownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17654184190478330946noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6480818427597300387.post-75835715534471028542016-08-01T15:50:55.522-07:002016-08-01T15:50:55.522-07:00I thought this was funny:
Mr. Republican Unity sp...I thought this was funny:<br /><br /><i>Mr. Republican Unity spent some time in Ohio today going after Ted Cruz. Why? Because nothing matters.<br /><br />No, seriously, Donald Trump felt it necessary to bring up the Texas Senator, claiming that he "saved his life" at the Republican National Convention by walking back in the room while Cruz was speaking. That's not all, though, as Trump made it a point to call him a "certain man" and not call him out by name. In a difficult election, it makes sense to go after your own party and not the opposition, if you have the intelligence of a newborn chimpanzee.</i><br /><br /><br />http://www.redstate.com/kylefoley/2016/08/01/polls-show-clinton-lead-trump-rather-go-ted-cruz/Tom Brownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17654184190478330946noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6480818427597300387.post-45285758636968082522016-08-01T15:27:21.351-07:002016-08-01T15:27:21.351-07:00Yes, Silver talked about that. The NowCast reacts ...Yes, Silver talked about that. The NowCast reacts fast to changes. <br /><br />http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-clintons-bounce-appears-bigger-than-trumps/Mike Saxhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01360689916550576484noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6480818427597300387.post-45802875694208673572016-08-01T15:15:25.387-07:002016-08-01T15:15:25.387-07:00Mike, I finally see this reflected in the "po...Mike, I finally see this reflected in the "polls only" default chart at 538. Check out the graph... the change has been VERY steep (I swear that early Sunday morning this same plot was showing 50/50):<br />http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/Tom Brownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17654184190478330946noreply@blogger.com